Archive for the ‘Currency Analysis’ Category

(AUD) Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor Monetary Policy - 6th October 2009.

Posted on October 6th, 2009 in Currency Analysis | No Comments »

STATEMENT BY GLENN STEVENS, GOVERNOR
MONETARY POLICY

6 October 2009
At its meeting today, the Board decided to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.25 per cent, effective 7 October 2009.

The global economy is resuming growth. With economic policy settings likely to remain expansionary for some time, the recovery will likely continue during 2010 and forecasts are being revised higher. The expansion is generally expected to be modest in the major countries, due to the continuing legacy of the financial crisis. Prospects for Australia’s Asian trading partners appear to be noticeably better. Growth in China has been very strong, which is having a significant impact on other economies in the region and on commodity markets. For Australia’s trading partner group, growth in 2010 is likely to be close to trend. Read the rest of this entry »

NZD OCR reduced to 7.5 percent : 11 September 2008

Posted on September 11th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, Forexsites | No Comments »

The Reserve Bank today reduced the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points from 8.0 percent to 7.5 percent.

Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard said: “The New Zealand economy is experiencing a marked slowdown, led primarily by the household sector. The outlook for the global economy has deteriorated further in the wake of continued financial market turmoil. In addition, the New Zealand business sector is coming under pressure from both rising costs and falling demand. While domestic activity is likely to pick up late this year as a result of personal tax cuts, increased government spending and rising rural incomes, we expect a prolonged period of household sector adjustment and below-average growth.

“The weakness in economic activity is expected to translate into lower inflation pressures in the medium term. Headline inflation is expected to peak around 5 percent in the current September quarter before trending down thereafter. However, food price inflation, exchange rate depreciation and higher wage costs will tend to keep headline inflation at elevated levels through 2009.

“With medium-term inflation pressures expected to ease, it is appropriate to move towards a less restrictive monetary policy stance. Compared to the June Monetary Policy Statement, we have brought forward some of the projected interest rate reduction, but have not altered the expected overall decline. We believe this response is warranted in light of the tightness of current credit conditions and the time it will take to affect the actual interest rates faced by households and businesses.

“Looking ahead, the scale and timing of further official cash rate reductions will depend on signs of declining inflation pressures and on exchange rate adjustments.”

View source

European Commission Cuts Eurozone Growth Forecast; Sees Recession In UK

Posted on September 11th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

Wednesday, the European Commission sharply lowered its growth forecast for Eurozone as the downside risks identified in its earlier forecast materialized, with the intensifying financial turmoil and the correction in housing markets impacting the economy. Read the rest of this entry »

Gold Drops For Seventh Straight Session

Posted on September 10th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

Gold closed lower for a seventh straight session, hurt by a stronger dollar and lower crude oil prices. December gold ended at $792.00, down $10.50 on the session, its lowest closing mark of 2008. Gold touched as low as $780.20 earlier in the day. Read the rest of this entry »

World Crude Prices Slip Ahead Of OPEC Meeting

Posted on September 9th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

World crude prices slipped in Asian trade Tuesday ahead of a crucial meeting later in the day of the 13-member Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in Vienna, amid mixed production signals emanating from the cartel`s members. Read the rest of this entry »

Futures Skyrocket As Wall Street Cheers Government Takeover Of Fannie and Freddie

Posted on September 8th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

US stock futures skyrocketed Monday morning in New York after the government took control of mortgage behemoths Freddie Mac (FRE) and Fannie Mae (FNM) in order to shore up the beleaguered housing market and protect the financial system.

As of 6:15 am ET, the S&P Futures were up 34 points, the Nasdaq Futures were up 38 points, and the Dow Futures were up 242 points.

Stocks ended Friday`s session mixed after seeing significant selling pressure earlier in the week. On Friday, the Labor Department released its highly anticipated monthly report on the employment situation, showing that employment continued to decrease in the month of August.

The outlook for Monday`s session is considerable brighter as Washington`s takeover of Fannie and Freddie has renewed hopes of a turnaround for the housing market. The move to rescue Fannie and Freddie has been endorsed by Fed Chair Ben Bernanke and is seen as proof that the US government will back its federal agencies.

The chief executives at the two firms will be replaced as part of the plan. The Federal Housing Finance Agency will assume the power of management at the companies.

The plan also calls on the Treasury Department to purchase $5 billion of mortgage-backed securities within the next month.

Sunday, global investment bank Lehman Brothers (LEH: News ) said it named Eric Felder and Hyung Soon Lee as global co-heads of fixed income effective immediately. Meanwhile, CNBC reported that Lehman is planning to raise capital and sell off bad debt sometime this week.

The price of oil was up a bit Monday morning in electronic dealing, rising to $0.80 to $107.70 a barrel.

Asian stocks surged higher Monday, with the Hang Seng of Hong Kong rising 861 points and Tokyo`s Nikkei picking up 412 points.

In European intraday dealing, the FTSE of the UK was up 200 points, the DAX of Germany was up 194 points, and the CAC of France was up 190 points.

 

Fed`s Yellen Warns That Credit Crunch May Be Deepening

Posted on September 5th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

The housing and credit crunch that has left the economy in a state of turmoil over the last year are `ongoing and perhaps deepening,` San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Janet Yellen said Thursday. She offered `favorable` prognosis on inflation, however, stating that it will likely moderate in the face of slowing economic growth. Read the rest of this entry »

(GBP) Bank of England Rate Decision : Released Thu Sep 04 : 11:00 GMT

Posted on September 4th, 2008 in Currency Analysis | No Comments »

The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee today voted to maintain the official Bank Rate paid on commercial bank reserves at 5.0%.

The minutes of the meeting will be published at 9.30am on Wednesday 17 September.

The previous change in Bank Rate was a reduction of 0.25 percentage points to 5.0% on 10 April 2008.

View source

IMF Reviews Iraq Stand-By Arrangement

Posted on September 4th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

Economic prospects in Iraq are improving, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund said on Wednesday in its first review of Iraq`s Stand-By Arrangement to support the country`s economic program. The arrangement, worth approximately $746.3 million, was approved in December and is precautionary in nature.

IMF Deputy Managing Director and Acting Chair Takatoshi Kato said that future successes will depend on continued improvement - so the supplementary budget was receiving a significant spending increase.

`After several very difficult years, economic prospects for Iraq are improving and the authorities are persevering with the implementation of their economic program in 2008,` Kato said in a statement. `With the recent improvement in security, oil production and exports are increasing while inflation has been reduced. The strengthened fiscal and external positions offer Iraq a good opportunity to rebuild its institutions and infrastructure in order to achieve sustained higher economic growth. The success of these endeavors will hinge on continued improvements in security, sound management of oil revenues, and implementation of key structural reforms.`

He added that fiscal vigilance must be maintained, and that the Central Bank of Iraq was expected to keep its monetary policy tight in order to better control the currency and avoid overheating the economy. An increase in fuel prices also will subsidize the budget.

`It will be important to step up the pace of structural reform,` Kato added. `Of particular urgency are the early adoption of a comprehensive reform plan for modernizing public financial management, the finalization of the census of public service employees to eliminate ghost workers, and the streamlining of the in-kind Public Distribution System. In the financial sector, restructuring programs for two major commercial banks based on the completed financial and operational audits should be taken forward, and the set of prudential regulations for commercial banks completed. Establishment of a new legislative framework for the hydrocarbon sector will facilitate investments in the sector.`

Progress has been made, Kato added, in strengthening governance and fighting corruption through greater transparency in the oil sector - although the most important step is for the central bank to continue to implement IMF guidelines.

 

(CAD) Bank of Canada Rate Decision : Released on Wed 3rd September : 13:00 GMT

Posted on September 4th, 2008 in Currency Analysis | No Comments »

Bank of Canada keeps overnight rate target at 3 per cent

OTTAWA - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 3 per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate is unchanged, and the Bank Rate remains at 3 1/4 per cent.

View Source