EUR/USD

Posted on April 29th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

Euro Slips To Multi-day Lows Against Most Majors [EUR/USD]
4/29/2008 6:13:01 AM The European currency showed weakness against its major counterparts in early European deals on Tuesday. The euro plunged to a 13-day low against the yen and 23-day lows against the pound and the dollar.

The French consumer confidence indicator, Italian PPI, UK money supply, which were released today likely influenced trading.

Italian producer prices rose 0.8% in March from the previous month, slightly slower than 0.9% growth in February, the statistical office ISTAT said today. However, producer prices increased more than 0.5% expected by analysts. Compared with March 2007, the producer price index climbed 6.3%, higher than the 5.8% anticipated.

French consumer confidence continued to decrease in April with the indicator falling to minus 37 from minus 36 in the prior month, the statistical office INSEE reported today. The reading matched economists` expectations.

The Euro trended lower against the dollar in early deals on Tuesday. The euro-dollar pair touched a 23-day low of 1.5542, compared to 1.5660 hit late New York Monday. As of now, the euro buys 1.5569 dollars.

The European currency also declined to a 23-day low of 0.7833 versus the British pound by about 3:35 am ET Tuesday. The pair then reversed direction and it is now worth 0.7861, slightly down from yesterday`s North American close of 0.7866.

UK`s M4 money supply growth for March was revised down to 11.9% annually from 12%, a final report from the Bank of England revealed Tuesday. The money supply growth eased from 12.3% in February and 13.2% in January.

The Euro that bounced between 162.93 and 163.23 against the yen in Asian deals on Tuesday moved off the range at 2:25 am ET. The pair slipped to a 13-day low of 162.09 by about 4:00 am ET. The pair that closed Monday`s trading at 163.07 is currently quoted at 162.36.

During early deals on Tuesday, the Euro edged down against the Swiss currency. Currently, the euro-franc pair is trading at 1.6146, down from Monday`s closing value of 1.6190.

The US consumer confidence report for April has been slated for release later in the morning.

The Bank of Japan and the US Federal Reserve are scheduled to announce their interest rate decisions tomorrow. Analysts expect the BoJ to keep rates steady at 0.5%, while a 25 bps rate cut is widely expected from the US central bank. Copyright © 2007 RTTNews.com. All Rights Reserved.

EUR/USD

Posted on April 28th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

Dollar Slightly Weaker Versus Majors Monday Morning [EUR/USD]
4/28/2008 7:09:22 AM The dollar was slightly weaker versus other major currencies Monday morning in New York, easing a bit to the euro and sterling while levelling off against the yen. With no major economic readings due out Monday, investors were looking ahead to Wednesday`s interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve.

While Monday should be a quiet day on the economic front, later this week traders will be treated to figures on consumer confidence, Chicago PMI, Advanced Q1 GDP, ADP employment, ISM manufacturing and U.S. Non-farm payrolls.

The dollar drifted slightly lower versus the euro, pulling away from Friday`s 3-week high of 1.5554 to trade at 1.5692. German consumer confidence improved significantly in April, raising the forecast for May, results of a survey showed.

Monday, the Nuremberg-based GfK said its forward-looking consumer climate indicator is forecasting a value of 5.9 points for May, up from a revised 4.8 points in April. Initially, the April reading was forecasted at 4.6. Economists were looking for a reading of 4.5 for May.

In its economic forecast report, the European Commission revised up its euro area inflation forecast to 3.2 percent from 2.6 and to 2.2 percent from 2 percent, respectively.

The dollar saw little movement against the yen Monday morning, staying near last week`s 2-month low. The dollar fetched 104.50 approaching 7 am ET, down slightly from 104.81 last night.

Retail sales in Japan rose 1.1% year-on-year in March, according to data released by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry Monday. Retail sales were boosted by higher spending on fuel due to higher gasoline prices. This was the eighth consecutive month that rising retail sales.

Later in the week, the Bank of Japan is expected to maintain its 0.5 percent key interest rates.

The dollar eased to the sterling Monday morning, slipping to 1.99 from an early level near 1.9780. There is little economic data set from release from the UK, leaving traders to look ahead to Tuesday, when BOE Governor Mervyn King will testify before Parliament. Copyright © 2007 RTTNews.com. All Rights Reserved.

EUR/USD

Posted on April 25th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

Dollar At New Highs Against European Majors [EUR/USD]
4/25/2008 3:24:31 AM The dollar has been extending its uptrend against the other major currencies. Currently, the dollar is trading at new highs of 1.5620 against the euro, 1.0398 versus the franc and 1.9680 per pound. Against the yen, the dollar is quoted at 104.54. Copyright © 2007 RTTNews.com. All Rights Reserved.

EUR/USD

Posted on April 24th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

Dollar Rallies Versus Euro, Sterling Thursday Ahead Of Durable Goods Data [EUR/USD]
4/24/2008 7:05:56 AM The dollar was generally stronger versus other major currencies Thursday morning in New York, putting its record low versus the euro in the rear-view mirror while hitting a weekly high versus the sterling.

Traders were looking ahead of a slew of economic data from the US. At 8:30 am ET, the Department of Commerce will release its data on durable goods orders, which is a key indicator of the health of the manufacturing sector. Durable goods orders fell 1.1 percent in February following a 4.4 percent drop in January. Economists expect orders to tick up 0.6 percent.

Additionally, the Commerce Department will release its new home sales data and the Labor Department will release its data on weekly jobless claims. The consensus is for weekly claims to rise to 375,000 following last week`s rise of 372,000.

At 10 am ET, market players will be treated to more housing data with the release of new home sales figures for March. Economists forecast new home sales to decline 1.7% following February`s decline of 1.8%.

The dollar rocketed higher versus the euro for a second day Thursday morning, soaring to 1.5720 from an early level near 1.5820. The buck has jumped almost 3 cents since hitting a record low of 1.6023 Tuesday morning. The buck`s advance was fueled by the release of industry data showing that German consumer confidence fell more than expected in April.

The German business climate index fell to 102.4 in April from 104.8 in March, the Munich-based IFO research institute revealed Thursday. The index stood below the expected level of 104.3. The indicator deteriorated for the first time four months.

The French business confidence indicator dropped to 106 in April from March`s revised 108, the statistical office INSEE said Thursday. Economists had expected the index to fall to 108. Earlier, the reading for the month of March was report at 109.

Euro zone`s working day and seasonally adjusted current account showed a surplus of EUR4.3 billion in February, the European Central Bank, or ECB, said Thursday.

The dollar edged higher in choppy dealing versus the sterling, rising to a weekly high of 1.9708 before slipping back to 1.9757. UK retail sales declined slightly more than expected in March from February.

Data released by the Office for National Statistics showed that the retail sales dropped 0.4% month-on-month in March, a slightly bigger fall than the 0.3% decline forecasted. February`s monthly increase was revised up to 1.1% from 1%.

The dollar was little changed versus the yen Thursday morning in New York, rising to 103.90 before moving back to 103.50. Versus its Canadian counterpart, the dollar pared some of yesterday`s significant gains, slipping to 1.0165 from an early level near 1.02. Copyright © 2007 RTTNews.com. All Rights Reserved.

EUR/USD

Posted on April 24th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

Dollar Gains Further Against Majors [EUR/USD]
4/24/2008 2:53:58 AM The US dollar has been strengthening further against its major counterparts in early deals on Thursday. The dollar is now trading at 1.5830 per euro, 1.9750 against the pound, 103.90 against the yen and 1.0208 francs. Copyright © 2007 RTTNews.com. All Rights Reserved.

EUR/USD

Posted on April 23rd, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

Dollar On Pause Versus Other Majors Wednesday Morning [EUR/USD]
4/23/2008 7:20:42 AM The greenback was range-bound versus other major currencies in quiet dealing Wednesday morning in New York. At 7 am ET, the Mortgage Bankers Association released its mortgage applications report, showing that US mortgage applications fell by 14.2 percent last week. There was little reaction to the news.

The dollar stayed near its record low from the previous session versus the euro Wednesday morning following the release of data showing that euro zone industrial new orders unexpectedly grew in February. The greenback was range-bound between 1.5950 and 1.60 in early dealing, having improved from yesterday`s all-time low of 1.6018.

Euro zone industrial new orders grew 0.6% month-on-month in February, the Eurostat announced Wednesday. Economists had expected a decline of 0.4%. However, the new order growth eased from a revised 2.2% rise registered in January. New orders, excluding ships, railway and aerospace equipment decreased 0.3% from the previous month, reversing 1.2% growth in January.

France`s consumer spending of manufactured goods declined 1.7% month-on-month in March, faster than 0.3% fall expected, the statistical office INSEE said Wednesday. In February, consumer spending was up 1.3%, revised up from 1.2% reported earlier.

The dollar was slightly stronger in choppy dealing versus the sterling, rising to 1.99 from an overnight level near 1.9950. The pair has shown a lack of direction this week, with the buck slipping to a multi-week low before stabilizing.

Wednesday, the minutes of the April rate-setting session of the nine-member Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England revealed that six policymakers voted in favor of the proposition to cut the bank rate by 25 basis points to 5%, while three rate-setters voted against. Policymakers Tim Besley and Andrew Sentance preferred to maintain Bank Rate at 5.25%, while David Blanchflower preferred an immediate reduction of 50 basis points to 4.75%.

The dollar was little changed against the yen, bouncing bank and forth around 103. The buck has levelled off since hitting a multi-week high of 104.63 last Friday. The greenback was also unable to sustain any movement versus the loonie, staying near 1.008 through mid-morning.

EUR/USD

Posted on April 23rd, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

Dollar Drops To New Record Low Versus Euro [EUR/USD]
4/22/2008 4:03:54 PM The dollar continued its free-fall versus the euro, dropping below $1.60 for the first time ever. The buck also lost considerable ground against the sterling after a Bank of England official made hawkish comments.

The buck`s decline was fueled by the release of data painting a troubling picture of the US housing sector. The National Association of Realtors released its report on existing home sales in the month of March, showing that sales of existing home fell roughly in line with economist estimates after increasing in the previous month.

The report showed that existing home sales fell 2.0 percent to an annual rate of 4.93 million units in March from a 5.03 million unit rate in February. Economists had expected existing home sales to slip to 4.92 million units.

The dollar fell to its lowest ever versus the surging euro, dropping to to 1.6018 from an early level near 1.5850. Traders considered comments from European Central bank officials indicating that the central bank might raise interest rates later this year to help curb inflation.

The greenback was also on the defensive versus the sterling, dropping to a daily low of 1.9998 before stabilizing. In doing so, the buck gave back its considerable gains from the previous session.

The buck lost a bit of ground versus the yem, easing to 103 from an early level near 103.50. The dollar pulled further away from Monday`s multi-week high above 104.50.

The Bank of England`s GBP50 billion Special Liquidity Scheme should allow the Monetary Policy Committee to stay focused on its task keeping inflation in check, a policy maker Timothy Besley said. In the text of his speech titled ‘Inflation and the Global Economy`, the BoE rate-setter said one of the reasons he welcomed the plan announced by the UK central bank a day earlier was that, “it is targeted directly at alleviating a key stress that has followed from the current disruption in financial markets”. “This should allow the MPC to stay more focused on its task of using monetary policy to target inflation”. The speech was delivered at Canada-UK Chamber of Commerce in London.

EUR/USD

Posted on April 22nd, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

Dollar Falls To Euro, Sterling Ahead Of Housing Data [EUR/USD]
4/22/2008 7:00:47 AM The dollar lost ground to the euro and sterling but inched higher versus the yen Tuesday morning in New York as corporate earnings continued to pour in ahead of a pivotal report on the US housing situation.

The National Association of Realtors will release its report on existing home sales at 10 am ET. Existing home sales rose to 5.030 million in February, helped by lower prices. Analysts are expecting sales to edge back down to 4.95 million in March.

The dollar gave back its overnight gains and tested its record low versus the euro Tuesday morning in New York. The buck dropped to 1.5968 by 6 am ET, but was steady at 1.5928 approaching mid-morning. With only a trickle of economic news released from the euro zone, traders were focused on more hawkish rhetoric from European Central Bank officials.

Bank of Greece Governor Nicholas Garganas said that inflation was of `the highest concern` for the ECB, adding that the current rate of price increases did not allow for interest rate cuts. Earlier this morning, ECB Governing Council member Christian Noyer said that policy makers will intervene, possibly by moving rates, to control inflation if prices do not moderate next year.

The dollar gave back a portion of yesterday`s strong gains versus the sterling Tuesday morning, slipping to 1.9856 from an early high of 1.9745. While no major economic data is on tap from the UK this morning, Bank of England committee member Tim Besley will be speaking at 7 am ET.

The dollar inched slightly higher versus the yen Tuesday morning, improving to 103.25 from an overnight low of 102.77. Traders considered industry data showing that Japanese supermarket sales grew 1.4% annually in March. Before adjusting store, supermarket sales were down 4%. Food sales increased 2.7% year-on-year in March, while clothing sales fell 2.5%.

The dollar was on pause versus the loonie ahead of the Bank of Canada`s latest interest rate decision. The dollar bounced back and forth near 1.0070 for most of morning, having stabilized since dropping below par last week. Considering last week`s tame Canadian inflation data, most analysts are predicting the BoC will slash interest rates by 50 basis points to 3 percent.

EUR/USD

Posted on April 18th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

Dollar Fights Back From Early Losses Versus Majors Thursday Morning [EUR/USD]
4/17/2008 7:09:18 AM The dollar bounced back from early weakness versus other majors Thursday morning in New York ahead of another flurry of economic news and speeches from a number of Federal Reserve officials.

At 8:30 am ET, the Labor Department will issue its weekly initial jobless claims. While the weekly data tends to be volatile, investors look to the report as an easy way to gauge the strength of the job market. Initial jobless claims declined by 53,000 to 357,000 in the week ending April 5th. Economists expect initial claims to move back up to 375,000.

Investors may also look to the Conference Board`s index of leading indicators for March along with the results of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve`s Philly Fed Survey.

At 9:45 am, Federal Reserve Governor and FOMC voting member Donald Kohn will speak in the morning about banking at a Richmond Fed symposium in Charlotte, North Carolina. At 2 pm Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher, who is also a FOMC voting member, will address the Chicago Council on Global Affairs. Later in the day, Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker will speak to the media at a credit conference in Charolotte, NC.

The dollar slipped to a fresh record low of 1.5983 against the euro in early dealing Thursday morning, extending its steep declines from the previous session on speculation that the interest rate gap between the US and euro zone will widen further. However, the dollar stormed back to the upside at around 6:30 am ET to trade at 1.5912.

Traders considered data showing that Euro zone trade balance with the rest of the world showed a surplus of EUR0.8 billion in February, the Eurostat revealed Thursday. The trade deficit totaled EUR11 billion in January and EUR1.6 billion in February 2007.

The dollar spiked higher versus the yen Thursday morning amid increased risk appetite, rising to 102.47 from an early low near 101.70. With the advance, the dollar moved to a weekly high. The buck has stabilized since hitting a 12-year low of 95.70 a month ago.

Japanese industrial production growth for February was upwardly revised, a final report from the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry showed Thursday. The government revised the base year for calculations to 2005 from 2000. The Ministry changes the base year in every five years.

After the Ministry revised its base year, industrial production rose by a seasonally adjusted 1.6% month-on-month in February, revised up from 0.9%. February`s growth reversed a 0.5% decline in January calculated under new series. On an annual basis, industrial output grew 5.1%.

The dollar fell sharply against the sterling in early dealing Thursday morning, but was able to quickly pare a portion of its losses. The greenback fell to 1.9821 before rebounding to 1.9780 approaching mid-morning. Still, the buck was down from its overnight level near 1.97.

The dollar jumped back above par versus the Swiss franc after falling sharply in the previous session. The dollar rose to 1.004 by 7 am ET, up from an early low of .9960.

The greenback also surged back above par versus the loonie, rising to 1.0043 after dropping to .9992 overnight. Canada`s currency has gotten a big boost this weak from soaring commodities prices.

EUR/USD

Posted on April 16th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »

Euro Soars To Historic Highs Versus Dollar And Pound On Euro Zone Inflation News [EUR/USD]
4/16/2008 7:01:16 AM The euro skyrocketed to its highest ever versus both the dollar and sterling Wednesday morning in New York following the release of data showing that euro zone inflation rose to a record level in March.

Euro zone annual inflation rose to 3.6% in March, revised up from 3.5% estimated earlier, the Eurostat indicated today. Annual inflation increased from 3.3% recorded in February. Monthly inflation stood at 1% in March.

The data confirmed the fears of some the European Central Bank`s more hawkish members, who have maintained their inflation-fighting posture over the past few months in spite of calls from many quarters to slash interest rates in the face of growing economic weakness. Unlike central banks in the US and UK, the ECB has held steady on its 4 percent key lending rate, insisting that keeping inflation in check is the primary focus of policymakers.

The euro skyrocketed to 1.5966 against the US dollar, reaching its highest level since its inception in 1999. Versus the sterling, the euro reached an all-time high of .8076.

US inflation figures will be in focus for a second straight day. At 8:30 am ET, analysts expect the consumer price index to increase 0.3 percent, compared with February`s flat rate. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, is expected to increase 0.2 percent from February`s flat rate.

On Tuesday, a report on wholesale price growth in March came in well above expectations, with significant increases in food and energy prices contributing to the faster than expected growth.

Also at 8:30 am ET, data on housing starts and building permits for March will be released. Analysts expect around 1.01 million housing starts for March, fewer than the 1.065 from February. Building permits are also expected to contract to 970,000 from February`s 984,000.