EUR/USD
Posted on April 16th, 2008 in Currency Analysis, RTT News | No Comments »
Dollar Falls To New Record Low Against Euro [EUR/USD]
4/16/2008 6:12:01 AM In early deals on Wednesday, the dollar plunged to a fresh record low against the euro as Euro-zone annual inflation accelerated to a new record high in March.
Euro zone annual inflation rose to 3.6% in March, revised up from 3.5% estimated earlier, the Eurostat indicated today. Annual inflation increased from 3.3% recorded in February. Monthly inflation stood at 1% in March.
Annual inflation continued to stay well above the central bank target. The central bank aims to keep inflation rates “below, but close to, 2% over the medium term”.
Against the other major currencies, the dollar weakened after hitting multi-day highs in early Asian trading.
Markets will receive important inflation data today with the release of the U.S. CPI report for March, along with U.S. housing starts for the same month. The Federal Reserve will release its Beige Book later in the day.
Month-over-month core CPI is expected to increase 0.2% following a previous flat reading while annualized core CPI is expected to gain 2.4% after increasing 2.3% in February. Looking at the headline, the index is expected to be up 0.3% following no increase in February, and the annualized rate is expected to rise 4.0% following February`s 4.0% rise.
Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak around mid-day today. At 11:30 am ET, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Janet Yellen will speak on the U.S. economic outlook at the Bay Area Council Conference in Alameda, California. At 12:30 pm ET, Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Plosser will speak about education in Blue Bell, Pennsylvania.
Against the pound, the dollar touched 1.9809 by about 5:45 am ET Wednesday, dropping from a 26-day high of 1.9603 hit in day`s early Asian deals. The pound-dollar pair closed yesterday`s deals at 1.9628.
The dollar equaled 100.92 against the yen by about 5:50 am ET Wednesday, moving down from a 5-day high of 101.94 hit at about 6:25 pm ET. The dollar-yen pair closed Tuesday`s deals at 101.84. If the dollar weakens further, it may test support around the 100.3 level.
Against its Swiss counterpart, the greenback spiked to 1-week high of 1.0113 by about 6:20 pm ET, Tuesday. But the pair lost momentum thereafter and hit as low as 0.9943 by about 5:50 am ET, compared to yesterday`s New York session closing value of 1.0067.
During early deals on Wednesday, the dollar plunged to a new record low of 1.5968 against euro by about 5:50 am ET. The euro-dollar pair closed Tuesday`s New York session trading at 1.5791.
In economic news, German annual inflation stood at 3.1% in March, unrevised from the preliminary estimate and up from 2.8% recorded in February.
The statistical office said, “The year-on-year rate of price increase again exceeded the 3% threshold for the first time since December 2007.” The dollar soared yesterday as traders considered data showing US producer prices came in much better than expected in March, rising 1.1%. Core PPI was up 0.2%, as expected.
Additionally, manufacturing in New York unexpectedly showed growth in April, according to the New York Federal Reserve`s manufacturing index. The report showed that the general business conditions index rose to a positive 0.6 in April from a negative 22.2 in March, while economists had expected the index to come in at a negative 16.
Concerns over the health of the economy were eased by the data, as investors hoped that the worst of the economy`s troubles are over.
Since it began easing its monetary policy, the Fed has lowered its rate by a cumulative 300 basis points while the ECB has maintained the euro zone`s rate since June.
The International Monetary Fund recently said the U.S. may slip into a `mild recession` after cutting its 2008 growth estimate for the world`s biggest economy to 0.5 percent from 1.5 percent.