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Morgan Stanley Daily FX Recommendations

A return to fundamentals is likely for the coming week following last week’s risk events: However, this does not necessarily mean a reduction in volatility. Indeed, we expect the recent pick-up in volatility to be maintained, keeping the high-beta currencies under pressure and USD supported. Furthermore, a continued decline of commodity price indices is set […]

NZD/USD: Post NZ election analysis by Mary McNamara

I had stated in my w/e analysis that I would review the Kiwi again after the results of the NZ election and here is what I am seeing. Not a lot has changed but traders need to remember that there is Chinese Manufacturing data tomorrow and NZD Trade Balance data and USD New Home Sales […]

FX: Option expiries for today’s NY cut (10:00 NY, 15:00 London)

Expiries for today’s NY Cut (10:00 NYC): USD/CAD: 1.0900 (1.1bln), 1.0965 (300mln), 1.1000 (1.2bln) AUD/USD: 0.8925 (208mln) EUR/USD: 1.2800 (1.3bln), 1.2850 (1.47bln), 1.2875 (536mln), 1.2900-10 (400mln) USD/CHF: 0.9225 (750mln), 0.9250 (325mln), 0.9525 (2bln) GBP/USD: 1.64 (1.16bln), 1.6405 (299mln), 1.6450 (281mln) EUR/GBP: 0.7800-05 (510mln), 0.7850 (605mln), 0.79 (900mln) USD/JPY: 108.05-25 (285mln), 108.75 (180mln), 109.00-10 (350mln) The […]

Session Data for Mon Sept 22 (GMT-5:00 ET)

CAD/JPY: a review by Mary McNamara

I was asked my opinion about the CAD/JPY but this isn’t a pair that I chart or watch. I offered to have a look though and this is my humble technical view on this pair at the moment. CAD/JPY monthly: I’m noticing a few things here and think a point form response is best: fibs […]

AudUsd: Looking very heavy. China data tomorrow, in focus

AUD/USD: 0.8925 Having made an early attempt to regain 0.9000 on Friday, the Aud gave up in the face of strong selling interest and headed lower for the rest of the session, seeing virtually no bounce and closing just above the new trend low at 0.8920.There is not too much domestic data due this week so traders […]

Barclays trade for the week: Still like the EUR/GBP short trade

Short EURGBP: With the Scottish referendum behind us, the market will re-focus on economic fundamentals, and relative economic/monetary policy outlook favours shorting EURGBP. Our technical strategist notes that the consolidation phase of the past two months has resolved bearishly, in line with the prevailing downward trend and our greater bearish view, and expects further weakness […]


EURGBP: 0.7875 Having taken out the stops above 0.8040 the previous week in spiking up to 0.8065, the cross then spent last week chopping around just under 0.8000 before collapsing ahead of the Scottish vote, trading down to a low of 0.7810 and then bouncing, to close at 0.7875. With the vote now out of the way, […]

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