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Fed drops ‘patient’, but remains cautious

Fed drops “patient” pledge, opens door to rate hike in June or later Fed officials see lower range for longer-run unemployment rate FOMC: Increase in rates remains unlikely at April FOMC meeting FOMC: Economic growth has moderated somewhat FOMC: Change in forward guidance does not mean Fed has decided on timing of rate hike FOMC: […]


Trade update for GOLD by Reece Marini

GOLD H1 The 1:1 (Blue) at 1166.00 has offered a solid trade with the market now 180 ticks below  this level. Taking profit in gold around current levels looks to be the best play with the market trading in a choppy sideways range. * A 1:1 refers to a current correction being equal in length […]


CIBC FX Flows – FXWW Chatroom

 What will Fed do? Well, Asia seems to be taking money off the table and pared long Usd. Our economist Avery Shenfeld said FOMC will drop its pledge to be “patient” about the timing of a rate hike, to leave the door open for a June move; but it will replace that sentence with an […]


Credit Agricole recommends shorting CHF/JPY

In our 12 March FX Focus CHF: melting safe-haven appeal, we outlined that the CHF had become more sensitive to market drivers such as monetary policy prospects. Considering that the overvalued CHF is keeping monetary conditions tight it cannot be ruled out that further policy easing will be considered in the coming few months. Inflation slowed to a multi-year […]


Deutsche Bank FX Flows Update

G10 volumes bounced back strongly in the second week of March after a slow start to the month. EUR/USD experienced a constant flow throughout the week. By contrast, yen volumes jumped last Tuesday morning after USD/JPY retraced from 122 and sterling volumes were particularly heavy last Friday after GBP/USD broke through 1.4750. Nearly 15% of […]


RBS FOMC Preview

The FOMC preview from Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS): Summary: We expect the FOMC to remove its language that suggests it can be patient in beginning to normalize policy. But beyond that, Chair Yellen is unlikely to give any hints as to the exact timing of a move, as full data dependence implies that the […]


FX: Option expiries for today’s NY cut (10:00 NY, 15:00 London)

*USD/JPY: Y120.50 ($300M), Y121.00 ($279M), Y121.50 ($580M), Y121.70 ($621M). *EUR/JPY: Y129.95 (E200M), Y130.40-60 (E340M). *EUR/USD: 1.0500 (E1BLN), 1.0575 (E350M), 1.0600 (E378M), 1.0630 (E225M), 1.0720 (E701M). *GBP/USD: 1.4815-20 (Gbp320M), 1.4900 (Gbp520M). *AUD/USD: 0.7700 (A$333M), 0.7800 (A$222M). *NZD/USD: 0.7350 (N$961M). *USD/CAD: 1.2700 ($600M). 


FX trading when the USDX & EURX are range bound by Mary McNamara

There are many times throughout the year when the EURX and USDX are range bound. During these periods it can be difficult to find trend trades on the  indices and many FX pairs. At such times though the Cross pairs often deliver decent trading opportunities during the London and or US trading sessions. The purpose of […]



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