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Post-NFP thoughts from the banks

UBS: The Eurodollar rates strip is off 9 to 10 ticks on the day. The June long bond is off 1-1/4 on the day. The equity market (futures) takes it reasonably in its stride. A good number for growth and equities, but the severity of the bond move just a little unsettling. The vol trade is […]


NFP – Scenarios, Trades, Overview – FXWW Chatroom

300k and Above – A June rate hike looms larger and the Fed gains the confidence needed to remove the “patient” forward guidance from its March statement. A break of 1.10 in EUR/USD could be the start of another down-leg. Short EUR/USD 250k to 300K – Our house forecast lies in this range. This looks […]


GS : G10 FX – London Spot Trader Views – FXWW Chatroom

Despite Draghi’s positive tone and optimistic forecasts for the Eurozone the details of QE implementation were enough to see another EUR selloff and subsequent USD rally. We maintain or bullish view on the USD vs EUR,GBP and JPY.{EU} EURUSD Lower => ECB yesterday finally pushed the pair down through 1.1000, and although we closed higher […]


AUD – Central Banks Updates – FXWW Chatroom

Aud – Under a freedom of information request from Bloomberg the RBA advises that Aud still about 2% above TWI valuation model but down from 5% overvaluation in Q4  http://www.rba.gov.au/foi/disclosure-log/rbafoi-141513.html  RBA advises that it believes 39 of 75 central banks have aud in their reserves up from 34 2 years ago. Largest declared holdings 10.2% Macedonia and […]


FX: Option expiries for today’s NY cut (10:00 NY, 15:00 London)

USD/JPY: 119.50 (545M), 120.00 (2.2BLN), 120.50 (1.1BLN), 121.00 (2.5BLN)EUR/JPY: 131.00 (450M), 134.00 (360M)AUD/JPY: 93.00 (277M), 94.00 (640M)AUD/USD: 0.7825 (250M)EUR/USD: 1.10 (2.4BLN), 1.1065-75 (1.9BLN), 1.1090-1.1100 (3BLN), 1.1150 (1.5BLN)USD/CHF: 0.9450 (440M), 0.9600-20 (300M)


Morgan Stanley FX Positioning Update

Since Monday, March 2, positioning in currencies has shifted. In the majors, the largest shorts are in EUR. There are no significant longs in the G10. USD positioning is moving back towards long. Intra-week global macro hedge funds were buyers, and bullish sentiment increased. EUR shorts remain relatively unchanged. Though the market is generally bearish, Japanese retail were small buyers this week. The post […]


Session Data for Fri Mar 06 (GMT-5:00 ET)


Daily Global Market Wrap – Forex, Commodity & Global Market Strategy Outlook 06 March 2015

Every day the Invast team review the major economic, fundamental and technical events that are important for traders who are looking to trade the global markets, focusing in particular on the Forex & Commodity markets. Daily Global Market Wrap Missed a session? Click Here



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