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MOST RECENT ARTICLES

9 years ago |

Deutsche: Commitment of Traders update

Specs were again net short in GBP futures (after a week) by 11K contracts, selling 15K contracts over the week. However, they decreased their net shorts in JPY and AUD futures by 24K and 8K contracts, respectively. One of the interesting notes from the latest CoT report from Deutsche is that the GBP shorts are […]

9 years ago |

News Releases for September 07 (AEST GMT+10:00)

9 years ago |

Barclays Trade for the week ahead: Short NZD/USD via risk reversals

Underpriced RBNZ easing this year (market pricing 36bp, our forecast: 50bp), in addition to our expectations for downward revisions to the Bank’s growth forecasts at its September MPS, skew the risks towards further NZDUSD depreciation, in our view. Moreover, the still-elevated skew and sharply inverted vol curve suggest an opportunity to express a bullish USD […]

9 years ago |

Stock Index Weekly Market Type Analysis 6 September 2015

Each week I review the current market type and fundamental considerations on a variety of stock and commodity indices. Market type analysis is critical to trade planning.   MT = Market Type ( See lesson 8 in the Share Investing Course for Smart People) US Dow Jones – MT is bear fast.  Go short. US […]

9 years ago |

Forex Trading Opportunities for the Week Ahead 6 September 2015

I plan my trading for the week ahead each weekend. Here are the Forex trading opportunities I will be stalking this week. Note that this is my current view, but if market conditions change my view can change too. Generally I will trade in alignment with what I have noted here, though I will wait for […]

9 years ago |

USD/JPY & S&P500: Thelma and Louise?

Last week:  It was slim pickings for momentum-based 4hr trend signals last week and the two noted TC gave mixed results: GBP/NZD = -50 and Kiwi = 60. Other technical signals have delivered pips though with a triangle breakout on the Cable delivering over 300 pips and one on the EUR/JPY also giving over 300 […]

9 years ago |

FX indices continue ranging in the run up to FOMC

USDX Monthly: The August candle closed as a bearish coloured ‘Inside’ candle reflecting indecision. No great shake there as the index has been range-bound within a Flag pattern for over 6 months! The new September candle is currently printing a small bullish coloured, essentially ‘Inside’, candle and is also still under the key 100 level. Monthly […]

9 years ago |

USD Playbook Into NFP: Scenarios & Trades – RBS

RBS trading desk economists expect non-farm payroll growth of 220K in August, a result that more-or-less matches the prevailing trend, as the three month moving average of NFP growth currently sits at 235K. “August non-farm payroll growth has shown a recent history of disappointment relative to the consensus, missing the consensus estimate in 7 of […]


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